Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Tropical Depression Update for Samoa

Observation:
In the last five hours since our Briefing #2, the tropical depression is still maintaining its strength of 30knots close to the centre, and have moved east north east within the last five hours at the speed of 14knots. The winds are not picking up strength because the size of the wind field is small. There is 100% level of confidence that the depression will continue to move towards Samoa. 

Prediction:
The global models is forecasting the system to intensify from midnight tonight with potential to cause heavy downpours/rainfall affecting the whole country and possible gusts of up to 25 knots. At this stage, the Tropical Depression has not been named as a tropical cyclone as it has not meet all the thresholds to warrant such.

Preparedness:
We continue to maintain our advice with regards to preparedness measures by response agencies as per our briefing #2.

The next update will be provided at 1500hrs today.




BUT - I remain optimistic (because its all I can do anyway!)

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